Squid on NAB
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Goldman is out with a quick take on what looks like a less stellar if still good bank result:
- Company cash earnings of A$2,915 mn vs. GSe A$2,952 mn and consensus A$2,885 mn. PPOP of A$5,274 mn was 2% below our expectations broadly on weaker-than-expected revenue. BDDs were slightly better than expected at 96 bp on non-housing loans vs. GSe. Interim DPS of A93¢ vs. GSe / consensus A92¢.
- Signs of improvement in asset quality with new impaireds down 23% hoh and 4% yoy
- UK CRE portfolio down from £5.6bn in Oct-12 to £5.0bn in Mar-13 and management noted while deterioration has continued, it has slowed.
- We note headline margin looks weak but there was an A$151 mn transfer between net interest income and trading non-interest income. Adjusting for this, margin was 1bp ahead of our expectations.
- The trading result itself was strong but driven by sales rather than trading and treasury, which was up 5% yoy and 35% hoh. Treasury and balance sheet income was flat yoy and down 34% hoh.
- Basel III CET1 ratio of 8.22% was ahead of our expectations (8.03%) and represented 32 bp of capital generated in the half.
About the author

David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal.
He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.
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