Producer prices confirm lack of inflation

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By Leith van Onselen

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has just released Producer Price Index (PPI) data for the March quarter, which has registered a 0.3% quarterly increase in final (stage 3) prices and an increase of only 1.6% over the year:

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The 0.3% increase in final (stage 3) prices was driven primarily by increases in the prices received for building construction (+0.8%), other agriculture (+6.1%) and petroleum refining and petroleum fuel manufacturing (+4.2%), partly offset by falls in the prices received for pharmaceutical and medicinal product manufacturing (-4.8%).

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The below chart shows the quarterly change in final PPI by component since 2005:

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And below is a time-series of final PPI dating back to the beginning of the series. Note the huge fall in imported costs reflecting the appreciation of the Australian dollar:

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The result confirms the current lack of inflationary pressures across the Australian economy. Although the situation could change in the event that the Australian dollar depreciated sharply, pushing-up imported inflation.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.