Genworth mulls self harm

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From the AFR:

US-listed Genworth Financial is seeking “more evidence of a good IPO market” in Australia as the company continues to mull an $800 million partial float of its Australian operations.

Chief executive Thomas McInerney told analysts that Genworth had not seen a lot of initial public offering activity in Australia.

The local division’s “good performance” should continue and aid the IPO process, but the company was still scouting for more signs of life in the market as it prepares for the float.

“We’d like to see over the next few months a little bit more evidence of a good IPO market,” Mr McInerney said.

“The Australia IPO is still a priority for us. But keep in mind that our 2013 cash and capital plans didn’t include it, so we’re not under pressure from an overall capital cash position to do anything.”

I know. Genworth is in highly profitable space with lots of pricing power as duopoly. So long as historic mortgage trends hold.

If not, every hedge fund in the known universe will be waiting for this big, fat short.

It’s results weren’t great, with its loss ratio increasing to 47 per cent, from 36 per cent, over the quarter. Net operating earnings in Australia were A$46 million, down from $62 million in the December 2012 quarter.

Banking Day reported as well that:

New delinquencies increased seven per cent from the previous quarter, while insured loans returning to normal were down 24 per cent. Genworth said both shifts reflect normal seasonal variation.

If Genworth can get this one away then I’ll take my hat and eat it.

Houses and Holes

David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal.

He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.

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Comments

  1. thomickersMEMBER

    lol they remind me of those nasty people who offload their hard rubbish at the salvation army instead of the garbage tip so that they can avoid losses of $$$

  2. The Patrician

    There is a market for everything.

    Rupert did pay $30 million for Dads Army.

  3. Genworth and QBE LMI are exquisitely exposed should land prices revert to mean.

    Genworth have been trying to flog their Oz LMI for a couple of years now – they need the dough and are desperate to de-risk. Can’t see interest in buying it, at any price. Pass.

  4. GunnamattaMEMBER

    There may be some people in Squid land who would think that could build a book, and prepare their short positions at the same time.