PSI trends upwards on rate cuts

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The AiG Services PMI is out this morning and shows steady improvement, up 3.1 points to 48.5 in February:

Sales and capacity are also trending upwards:

As are new orders:

In fact, it’s quite clear that services will very soon be back in expansionary territory on rate cuts:

This move will have limits, however. Credit is not available to fund a sustained and aggressive services expansion cycle so long as the banks can’t borrow offshore.

Psi Feb 2013 Final Report

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.