Government rescues GDP

Advertisement

The ABS has released December quarter GDP figures and it’s bang on consensus at 0.6 for the quarter and 3.1% for the year.

It looks like the public sector saved the day:

In seasonally adjusted terms, the main contributors to expenditure on GDP were Total public gross fixed capital formation (1.1 percentage points), and Net exports (0.6 percentage points). The main detractors were Total private gross fixed capital formation (-0.9 percentage points) and Changes in inventories (-0.4 percentage points).

This is a pattern we could see played out for the next several years (depending upon the election result). Public investment growth offsetting private sector investment falls with some support form net exports. Dr No will mess with it at his peril.

Advertisement

More to come from the Unconventional Economist…

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.