RP Data February housing update

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By Leith van Onselen

Please find above RP Data’s February housing market update, which discusses the state of the Australian housing market as at the end of January, following the 1.2% monthly increase in capital city dwelling values.

As expected, RP Data’s Tim Lawless is fairly upbeat this month arguing that a housing market recovery is underway. Lawless sees a number of improving vendor metrics, including:

  • Falling days on market (notwithstanding December’s seasonal bounce):
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  • Falling vendor discounting:
  • Improving auction clearance rates:
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Nevertheless, Australia’s housing market still has a lot of lost ground to catch-up, with every capital still below its peak value:

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Summaries of the capital city metrics are provided below:

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Despite the improving housing market conditions, Lawless believes that housing values will recover along “a modest trend” only due to subdued economic conditions, namely:

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  • Soft housing finance:
  • Subdued consumer sentiment:
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  • Weak dwelling approvals:
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  • Labour market weakness:

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.