Newspoll: Labor closes

Monday 12 November 2012

The Australian has released the latest Newspoll survey of voting intentions.The headline result is in line with the changing fortunes since the Coalition’s peak at the end of April 2012. The Poll Bludger also has the details.

What would this mean at the next election? If the national vote was 51-49, the 100,000 election simulationsuggests the most likely outcome would be a Coalition win.

The primary voting intentions were as follows. Of note is the decline in the Greens’ fortunes.

Moving to the attitudinal questions. Ms Gillard is reasserting her position as the preferred Prime Minister. Her net satisfaction rating is also improving.

And, to put that last graph in some historical perspective …

About the author

David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific's leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.