CPI weak

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Told ya. CPI is out and it’s weak, 0.5% on the quarter and 1.2% on the year. The trimmed mean, the weighted median are all weak. Looks like most of what inflation there is in retail, suggesting the recent rate cut induced bounce has delivered a little short term pricing power, which will fade.

Look at that series of lower lows on the yearly chart above. Looks like the CPI is a skeptic too.

JUNE KEY FIGURES

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Mar Qtr 2012 to Jun Qtr 2012
Jun Qtr 2011 to Jun Qtr 2012
Weighted average of eight capital cities
% change
% change

All groups CPI
0.5
1.2
Food and non-alcoholic beverages
0.6
-3.2
Alcohol and tobacco
1.0
3.8
Clothing and footwear
1.5
0.6
Housing
0.4
3.4
Furnishings, household equipment and services
1.5
0.7
Health
1.5
3.6
Transport
0.9
2.1
Communication
-0.3
0.9
Recreation and culture
-1.3
-1.6
Education
0.0
6.1
Insurance and financial services
0.5
2.9
CPI analytical series
All groups CPI, seasonally adjusted
0.6
1.2
Trimmed mean
0.5
2.0
Weighted median
0.7
1.9

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.