Europe’s waning policy credibility

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Courtesy of Sober Look.

The historical chart from Barclays Capital overlays the timeline of the various Eurozone policy actions on top of the iTraxx Main spread. It’s a good chronology of policy announcements and market stress periods. As a bit of background, iTraxx Main is a CDS index referencing 125 investment grade European corporations. It’s quite liquid and tends to be a good representation of financial stress levels in Europe.

The point Barclays is trying to make here is the declining level of confidence the markets now have in the policymakers’ abilities to devise and implement effective lasting solutions. As many have pointed out, the time periods between each successive “positive” policy announcement and the next market “stress period” seem to be getting shorter.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.