NAB Business Survey stuck in a rut

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NAB has released its March Business Survey today and there is little to report. In fact, it looks pretty much a carbon copy of the subdued February survey:

As you can see, businesses have reported a second month of good trading conditions. However, forward orders and exports are flat. Labour costs are elevated but contained and employment intentions weak. Profitability and confidence were up slightly.

Here’s the sectoral split:

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Two speeds out the wazoo but an ongoing recovery in manufacturing, towards zero. Here’s the state by state split:

No real change here either.

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NAB highlighted a couple of positives in tis commentary:

Confidence and conditions grind higher but with little jobs growth. Forward indicatorsmarginally improve but remain subdued. Multi speed economy still to the fore – withnon mining edging up a touch. Domestic forecasts edge lower with unemployment up.

But this is very much within the trends we have seen for over a year. Certainly nothing here to inhibit the promised rate cut.

2012m03 Press Release

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.