Inflation cops a donut

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Breaking news! CPI for the December quarter has come in at zero with annual rate 3.1%. Bullhawks are stupified. The RBA stumped. I did warn you’ve nothing to worry about on the inflation front this year but, frankly, this figure looks slightly disturbing, hinting at quite some underlying economic weakness. Offering more hope was the trimmed mean measure at 0.6% with an annual rate of 2.6%.

Here’s the headline data:

DECEMBER KEY FIGURES

Sep Qtr 2011 to Dec Qtr 2011
Dec Qtr 2010 to Dec Qtr 2011
Weighted average of eight capital cities
% change
% change

All groups CPI
0.0
3.1
Food and non–alcoholic beverages
-1.5
2.5
Alcohol and tobacco
0.9
3.1
Clothing and footwear
-0.5
2.6
Housing
0.4
4.0
Furnishings, household equipment and services
0.1
0.2
Health
-1.2
3.6
Transport
0.0
4.0
Communication
1.1
1.6
Recreation and culture
0.8
0.5
Education
0.0
5.8
Insurance and financial services
0.6
5.6
CPI analytical series
All groups CPI, seasonally adjusted
0.2
3.0
Trimmed mean
0.6
2.6
Weighted median
0.5
2.6

And a couple of cheap and cheerful charts, QOQ:

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And YOY:

More to come…

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.