ABS Lending Finance is out and shows, bugger me, some growth in commercial finance:
OCTOBER KEY FIGURES
Sep 2011
Oct 2011
Sep 2011 to Oct 2011
$m
$m
% change
TREND ESTIMATES
Housing finance for owner occupation(a)
14 509
14 514
0.0
Personal finance
7 150
7 181
0.4
Commercial finance
33 527
34 326
2.4
Lease finance
412
418
1.3
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
Housing finance for owner occupation(a)
14 546
14 377
-1.2
Personal finance
6 956
7 317
5.2
Commercial finance
31 158
36 310
16.5
Lease finance
427
417
-2.4
(a) Excludes alterations and additions
OCTOBER KEY POINTS
OCTOBER 2011 COMPARED WITH SEPTEMBER 2011: HOUSING FINANCE FOR OWNER OCCUPATION
The total value of owner occupied housing commitments excluding alterations and additions was flat (0.0%) in trend terms, while the seasonally adjusted series fell 1.2%. PERSONAL FINANCE
The trend series for the value of total personal finance commitments rose 0.4%. Fixed lending commitments rose 0.6% and revolving credit commitments rose 0.3%. The seasonally adjusted series for the value of total personal finance commitments rose 5.2%. Revolving credit commitments rose 11.3% and fixed lending commitments rose 0.4%. COMMERCIAL FINANCE
The trend series for the value of total commercial finance commitments rose 2.4%. Revolving credit commitments rose 3.6% and fixed lending commitments rose 1.7%. The seasonally adjusted series for the value of total commercial finance commitments rose 16.5% in October 2011, after a 9.5% fall in September 2011. Revolving credit commitments rose 34.8%, after a 15.1% fall in the previous month. Fixed lending commitments rose 8.0%, after a 6.6% fall in the previous month. LEASE FINANCE
The trend series for the value of total lease finance commitments rose 1.3%, while the seasonally adjusted series fell 2.4%. 16% sounds like a lot but here’s the charts to give you some perspective:
The biggest jump was in revolving credit and here is another chart by sector:
The big expansion was in retail, which appears to be seasonal (this data is unadjusted), mining, which speaks for itself, and manufacturing, which makes little sense unless we think of it as maxing out the credit card to pay your bills!