Trading Day

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The S&P/ASX 200 Index had a stonking day, closing up 109 points or 2.55% higher to 4281 points after positive leads from overnight markets. In after hours trading, the index is up 8 points, although Euro and US markets are pointing to slightly lower or mixed opens.

Asian markets experienced similar gains, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 up 1.75% at 8640 points, the Hang Seng almost 4% up to 19963. The Shanghai Composite lagged and is currently up 16 points or some 0.6% to 2524 points.

In other risk assets, the AUD fell slightly – probably on RBA forecasts – back below 1.04 after a good night whilst WTI crude rose slightly, now at $94.33 USD a barrel.

Gold was steady during the Asian session and is currently at $1764 USD an ounce after a cracking run last night or $1694 AUD an ounce.

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Movers and Shakers
Unicorns and rainbows on the ASX today, with all sectors up, the usual suspects – materials, energy and financials – leading the way.

The banks were bid up strongly, with ANZ up 2.6%, Commonwealth (CBA) up 2.1%, National Australia Bank (NAB) also up 2.1% and Westpac (WBC) up 2% even.

Macquarie (MQG) did better, up 3.6%, whilst healthcare stalwart Cochlear (COH) continues to fall, now below $53 a share. Its “twin” CSL gained 1.8% whilst Telstra (TLS) was bid up almost two percent.

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BHP Billiton (BHP) lead the broad gains today, up nearly 4%, whilst Rio Tinto (RIO) put on over 5%, gold miner Newcrest Mining (NCM) had another good day, rising 3.6%

Fortescue (FMG) finished the day up nearly 8% and Woodside Petroleum (WPL) was up 1.3%

I asked yesterday if Woolworths (WOW) is bottoming, after gaining 2% it put on another 1.6% today – note, The Prince Super Fund bought some for a long term dividend investment.

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The Charts
Yesterday I suggested that the short term bullish case is reinforced by a bounce off support and the deceleration in the falling prices since the false breakout above the medium term downtrend line. Today’s action lifts the closing support line into a short term uptrend with a probable intermediate uptrend if the market clears resistance at 4300 points in the next few days.

A break below the green uptrend, which doubles as short term support, would likely complete a very short term head and shoulder pattern (the false breakout being the head) resulting in the resumption of the medium term downtrend.

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As seen on the weekly chart below, the market still needs to clear this overhead resistance and then the long term average at ca. 4450 for a sustained rally.

Watch my “Chart of the Day” posts for continued analysis of US, Euro and Asian markets which will lead the way.

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