Record exports

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ABS trade figures are out today and there’s no doubt about it, August was a cracking month, posting a big jump to record export revenues above $28 billion for the first time and delivering a surplus of $3.1 billion, the second highest ever. The good news came from one primary source, iron ore:

As you can see from the top chart, the last time we posted record exports, was at the 2008 cliff’s edge. There has already been some softeing in the ore price, and more in the swaps market (I’ll try to get a chart of that later). And backing that up, the LME steel price has also taken a beating since August, clearly busting its uptrend:

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Nonetheless, combined with this morning’s building approvals, it’s been a good day for the economy.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.