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Inflation spike muddies Reserve Bank rate cut outlook
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand released CPI inflation data today, which showed that New Zealand inflation lifted further in Q2 to 2.7%.
Leith van Onselen
8 hours ago
Welcome to Victoria: the insolvency state
The state of Victoria’s financial woes is well documented. In 2023-24, the state had the nation’s largest per capita net debt and the lowest credit rating (AA).
Leith van Onselen
8 hours ago
3
Is immigration into Australia surging or falling?
Last week, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released monthly data on permanent and long-term arrivals, which suggested that net overseas migration (NOM) may have surged back over the first half of 2025.
Leith van Onselen
7 hours ago
4
Creepy Albo turns CCP propaganda pin-up boy
Iieeeeuuuuuu… Why use an AI when you have the Aussie PM on his knees?
David Llewellyn-Smith
7 hours ago
4
The bubble inflates
The bubble is back. The Market Ear. Basically buying UBS sees CTAs doubling their equity exposure, adding $60-70bln over the next 2 weeks. They are basically buyers in all scenarios, unless SPX turns below 6k. Source: UBS Retail buying UBS on retail buying (proxied by ETF action): 1.
David Llewellyn-Smith
6 hours ago
China defends economic doom model
China is not signalling imminent breakout stimulus.
David Llewellyn-Smith
6 hours ago
1
Demographic change drives Aussie housing shortage
Tarric Brooker
5 hours ago
9
Recession smashes Aussie retailers
South African fashion retailer The Foschini Group has 563 stores across Australia, and its brands include Tarocash, Connor, and Johnny Bigg.
Leith van Onselen
5 hours ago
1
Watch: Pilbara killler Tranformer monsters come to life
The ferrous complex is fast hurtling into the absurd.
David Llewellyn-Smith
4 hours ago
2
Peak Labor is here
Are Australians so grotesquely entitled that they’d rather jettison democracy than pay a little more for their defence of said democracy?
David Llewellyn-Smith
4 hours ago
27
Macro Morning
Friday night saw risk markets hinge on more trade concerns with the Trump regime pushing for a baseline 15-20% tariff on all EU products while at the same time obfuscating any real chance of a deal with Japan, which went into the final session of the trading week under an election cloud.
Chris Becker
3 hours ago
1
RBA and government put a rocket under house prices
I reported last week that Australians have become increasingly bullish on house prices, with the latest Westpac consumer sentiment index showing that house price expectations have surged to a cyclical high, coinciding with a strong rebound in the “time to buy a dwelling” index.
Leith van Onselen
2 hours ago
6
Unemployment shock to trigger RBA rate cuts
Australia’s ‘miracle’ labour market has been living in somewhat of a fool’s paradise.
Leith van Onselen
6 hours ago
9
MB Growth Tops Super FY25 League Tables—Here’s What Drove It
Independent performance tables to 30 June are in, and the AFR has listed the best‑performing large super funds.
Damien Klassen
16 hours ago
The economic week ahead
By Harry Ottley, economist at CBA The unemployment rate rose to 4.3% in an otherwise quiet week locally.
Leith van Onselen
17 hours ago
3
Australian dollar to fall with interest rates
DXY faded Friday night.
David Llewellyn-Smith
23 hours ago
No, Australians should not pay more for energy
Dear Millie Muroi.
Sir Fomo McSpruikerson
1 day ago
12
Sydney auction market falls back to Earth
If you are curious about the differences in methodology between myself and the usual auction data providers, there is an explanation down the page.
Tarric Brooker
1 day ago
3
Australia on the verge of a new migration boom
When the latest Q4 2024 net overseas migration figures were released by the ABS in June, they revealed that annual rolling net migration had fallen to 340,800.
Tarric Brooker
2 days ago
22
Weekend reading and MB media releases
International Reading: Student-loan borrowers are at high risk if Trump dismantles the Department of Education, 11 organizations told Elizabeth Warren – Business Insider Texas ranks as No.
Leith van Onselen
2 days ago
96
Macro Afternoon
Most share markets in Asia are lifting going into the final trading session of the week although Japanese bourses are cautious given the domestic election this weekend and the concern over inflation after today’s June print.
Chris Becker
3 days ago
34
Blind RBA needs to cut 50bps
The economy must suffer, and workers in particular, because the Reserve Bank of Australia will not, under any circumstances, mention immigration.
David Llewellyn-Smith
3 days ago
12
Aussies are expecting big house price gains
In June, Australian property values reached a record high, as illustrated by PropTrack below.
Leith van Onselen
3 days ago
6
Albo releases tide of China grovelling
I have noted the pivot at Crikey to Wokey over the past few years.
David Llewellyn-Smith
3 days ago
11
Why we cannot build enough homes
Australia is experiencing a generational housing shortage, exacerbated by historically high immigration-driven population growth and a sluggish housing supply.
Leith van Onselen
3 days ago
3
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