Australian Shares

Risk markets in Asia are reacting with some trepidation after the Friday night cut by ratings agency Moody on US debt, with all stocks in the red with US Treasury futures also falling.

Risk markets seem to have concluded that the Trump Tariff Tax Trade Tiff is nearly over, and everything will go back to being normal, even though almost all the macroeconomic indicators suggest otherwise as the US economy slows down as stagflation rears its ugly head.

More pain from The Market Ear.

Fast and furious RSI across equity indexes has gone from extremely oversold to now hitting very overbought levels.

The Market Ear on the recession that never was.

The Market Ear on the chaos of the child president. Break away SPX is crushing the short term resistance around 5700 (futures), trading well above the 200 day for the first time since March.

Here it is.

The Market Ear on the rally.

The Market EAr on the mechanical bull. Stuck, but… SPX is still stuck in some sort of range, but note the short term trend line comes in at the 5700 level (futures).

The Market Ear on the stocks stall.

The Market Ear on the rally nobody wanted.

Risk markets are having a solid finish to the trading week while recent news that the Chinese may actually be open to talking about tariffs with the US, plus the Canadian auto industry seemingly getting another exemption on parts, with futures indicating an even better start in Europe.

The Trump regime continues to goose the stock market with non-existent reports of trade deals with “hundreds of countries” while the economic reality continues to set in as the latest initial jobless claims spiked while the ISM manufacturing survey went into contraction territory.

Risk markets are still running on hopium as US officials admit there’s no talking going on whatsoever with China (who are having a week long holiday anyway – call back later Donny!) while the Bank of Japan held fire in today’s meeting which sent Yen selling off and stocks lifting higher.

The Market Ear on the rally.

The latest US GDP print for Q1 came in worse than expected, sending Wall Street down 2% at one stage before the hopium set in as markets recovered towards the close on reports of a possible Canadian deal with the new PM.

Some interesting local and Chinese reports were absorbed by markets in Asia today, with all eyes really on Friday’s US non farm payroll print and of course, any more waffles coming from the Oval Office about “deals” around Trump’s tariffs.

A better night on Wall Street due to better earnings reports and by absorbing the Canadian general election outcome.

Risk markets are trying to digest quite a bit of macro news today with the Canadian election resulting in a Liberal victory, while a small reprieve in auto tariffs by the Trump regime looks possible amid the UK/EU announcing what could be a reversal in post Brexit trade barriers.

An uneasy night on Wall Street with minor moves as more earnings reports filter through amid more bluster from the Trump regime about nonexistent Chines tariff negotiations helping push USD lower against most of the majors as Pound Sterling hits a new three year high amid a UK/EU detente on trade.

The Market Ear on the bear market bounce.

Wall Street ended the trading week on a strong note, continuing the rebound from recent lows after more flopping on tariffs from the Trump regime however a weekend Time interview and further comments out of the White House could unsettle markets again.