IMF: Poor demographics to stunt global growth

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By Leith van Onselen

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released its 2015 World Economic Outlook, which argues that the global economy is facing lower potential growth because of ageing populations, less investment and the limits of technology.

Specifically, the IMF estimates that the average growth potential in advanced economies has fallen 0.5% from what was considered the “speed limit” a decade ago to 1.3% today. By comparison, in the developing world, potential growth has slid from around 7.5% before the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) to an average of around 6.5% today, and is likely average only around 5.2% over the next five years:

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.