Capital city renters buried under population deluge

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The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has released capital city population data for the 2022-23 financial year, which revealed that Australia’s capital cities grew by a record 517,200 to just shy of 18 million people:

Australian capital city population

Australia’s capital city population has grown by a whopping 5.5 million people (44%) since 2001.

The next table from the ABS shows that Melbourne (167,484) and Sydney (146,702) drove the nation’s population growth in 2022-23:

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Population by capital city

Source: ABS

This growth was overwhelmingly driven by net overseas migration:

Components of population change

Source: ABS

Sydney received the most net overseas migrants in 2022-23 (i.e. 156,616), followed by Melbourne (146,772).

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The next chart shows that Melbourne’s population has grown by an extraordinary 1.7 million people between 2001 and 2023. Sydney (1.35 million), Brisbane (1.0 million) and Perth (850,000) also experienced strong population growth:

Population change 2001 to 2023

In terms of growth rates, Brisbane (60%) and Perth (59%) experienced the most rapid growth:

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Population growth rate 2001 to 2023

This explosive population growth is the primary reason why Australia’s rental market is experiencing record tightness, with vacancy rates tracking at all-time lows:

Rental vacancy rates
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It is also why rental inflation has soared into the stratosphere, causing widespread financial stress and forcing Australians into group housing and homelessness:

Capital city asking rents

The blame for the rental crisis rests squarely on the shoulders of Labor’s extreme immigration policy.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.