Korean trade canary snuffed it

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Goldman with the note. Korean exports are an excellent leading indicator for global trade and growth. 


Korea’s workday-adjusted exports in the first 20 days of August fell further by 2.5% mom sa, with the decline moderating from 7.9% in the previous month. Semiconductor exports during the 20 calendar days rebounded to 3.2%, but other exports dropped, in particular computers, machinery, and auto components. By destination, China and US-bound exports fell relatively sharply, by 7.6% and 6.1% respectively. Total imports during the 20 calendar days rebounded to 2.3% after two months of declines. The trade deficit widened to -US$3.6bn from -US$1.4bn in the previous month.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.