No spring launch for Aussie property listings

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Earlier this month, SQM Research released its stock on market report for September, which revealed that for sale listings nationally declined by 1.2% over the month and by 7.4% year-on-year:

CoreLogic’s latest Housing Market Update supports SQM’s data, showing all regions except Perth recorded falling new and total listings in the year to September:

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The next chart shows that new listings are tracking well below the equivalent periods in 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2019:

It’s the same story for total listings, which are also running way below 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2019:

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While listings are depressed, actual sales volumes are estimated by CoreLogic to be running 2.8% higher than the same time last year:

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These dynamics help to explain why dwelling values have held up better than expected.

The key test will come should a tidal wave of distressed sales hit the market after emergency income support and mortgage repayment holidays are unwound.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.