Australia inches closer to COVID-19 elimination

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Australia is inching towards COVID-19 elimination, with only 12 new cases recorded overnight alongside 7 deaths.

Local transmission is tracking near May lows (after the first wave), with only 10 local cases recorded overnight:

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Melbourne’s 14-day average has plunged to 18.2, inching towards the magical 5 case average required to move out of draconian restrictions (we should have moved out already IMO):

Meanwhile, locally acquired cases have hit zero in NSW:

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The trends across both jurisdictions are shown below:

Total active COVID-19 infections have fallen to just 421 nationally, led by Victoria (325) and NSW (72):

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By the end of October, Australia should effectively be free of COVID-19 (not including returned travellers in hotel quarantine).

Finally, a total of 882 people have died nation wide from COVID-related illnesses, 794 of which are Victorians:

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All government efforts must now concentrate on ensuring quarantine and contract tracing is done right. Otherwise, we risk a repeat of the Victorian second wave disaster, further lockdowns, and loss of life.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.