Chinese steel entering “zugzwang” calamity

Advertisement

Via Bloomberg:

“We’re going from one world to another,” Peter Marcus, founder and managing partner of U.S. consultancy World Steel Dynamics, said in an interview in Shanghai. “We’re going to have mercantilism that’s going to promote domestic industries. The U.S. is going to win, and China is going to lose.”

Prices in China could return toward the crisis levels seen in late 2015 before the end of the year, Marcus said Sunday. Annual output may shrink by 100 million metric tons in three to four years as domestic demand slumps by the same amount, and as exports fail to hold their explosive growth this decade, he said. China last year made 808 million tons, about half of world production.

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.