Daily oil and LNG price update (at the brink)

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Brent oil is at the brink on the chart, down to $46.06 as I write. Henry Hub rose a little to $2.69mmBtu:

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That is a classic bearish descending triangle. News flow is bearish. The EIA warned on rising US rigs:

Higher and more stable crude oil prices are contributing to increased drilling in the United States, which may slow the pace of production declines. Benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices averaged $46.59 per barrel (b) over the last three weeks, a 40% increase over the average price in the first quarter. The Lower 48 states onshore oil active rotary rig count, as measured by Baker Hughes, stood at 336 rigs on July 15, 29 rigs above the end-June number. While declines from existing wells are expected to result in a net decrease in production, increased drilling and higher well productivity are expected to soften the decline.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.