Bill Shorten’s alternative vision for nation

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Opposition leader Bill Shorten delivered his Budget reply speech last night (above), which provided an alternative vision for the nation, with a firm focus on equity.

Below are the key parts broken down by topic.

Tax cuts:

Tax cuts for high income earners – and nothing for families. Not one cent for ordinary working families and working Australians. From Tony’s Tradies to Malcolm’s Millionaires – this is a Budget for big business over the battlers. This Budget fails the test of fiscal responsibility too…

A working Mum on $65,000 with two kids in high-school will be over $4,700 a year worse off
And someone on a million dollars, will be almost $17,000 better off every year.

Three quarters of Australian workers will receive no tax relief from this Budget but will disproportionately suffer from cuts to schools, hospitals, Medicare and family support rely upon…

The more you have, the more you get. The less you earn, the more you lose.

This Prime Minister has the audacity to accuse us of waging ‘class war’. Prime Minister, ‘class war’ is cutting money from families on fifty and sixty thousand dollars in order to give millionaires a tax break…

We will support the government’s modest measures on bracket creep.

However, in the face of continuing deficits, now is not the time to give the richest 3 per cent of Australians another tax cut on top of this.

Now is not the time to reduce the marginal rate for individuals who earn more than $180,000 a year. According to a preliminary estimate from the independent Parliamentary Budget Office this decision from Labor is estimated to improve the Budget by $16 billion over the decade.

Last year, from this dispatch box, I invited the government to co-operate on cutting the tax rate for Australian small businesses to 25 per cent. We meant it then – we stand by it now.

Labor will support a tax cut for small businesses with a turnover of less than $2 million dollars per year. Because that’s what a small business is.

We will deliver tax relief for the small businesses representing 83 per cent of all Australian companies. But billion-dollar businesses are not small businesses…

Coles is not a small business. The Commonwealth Bank is not a small business. Goldman Sachs is not a small business.

As important as they are to our economy, they don’t need a taxpayer subsidy which Australia cannot afford to pay. Especially when our imputation system means a cut in the corporate tax rate delivers no meaningful benefit for Mum and Dad investors. The only shareholders who will win out of this live overseas.

Labor will support a tax cut for small business – but unlike the Prime Minister – we will not use this as camouflage for a massive tax cut to big multinationals. Especially when the government is refusing to tell us the ten year cost of their ten year plan.

The Turnbull Budget is built on a fraud of a grand scale. The Prime Minister knows what his big-business tax cut will costs all taxpayers – but he doesn’t trust enough to tell them.

Labor will do the right thing – by the Budget and by families. Labor will not support Mr Turnbull’s ten year tax cut for big business.

Based on a preliminary estimate from the Independent Parliamentary Budget Office, this will mean a Budget improvement of $49 billion over the decade.

Two decisions $65 billion in budget improvements.

Superannuation:

Labor will gladly support our own clear and costed policy to close the unsustainably generous superannuation loopholes at the very top end. We welcome the fact that three years after they voted to abolish Labor’s Low Income Superannuation Contribution, the Liberals have decided to keep it and simply rename it.

Labor’s reforms to maintain the fairness and integrity of superannuation however, will only ever be prospective and predictable – so people can plan for the future with security.
But the Coalition’s changes are chaotic and unprecedented. They were made with zero consultation. They dangerously undermine what’s acknowledged as the world’s best system for securing a decent retirement for all Australians.

The Treasurer claims only a small number of superannuation account holders will be affected. That’s untrue. When the system is undermined, everyone is affected, everyone is at risk.

Every superannuation account holder can now only guess what Malcolm Turnbull and Scott Morrison will do next.

This is a matter of principle for us. Labor has very grave concerns about retrospective changes – which is precisely why our reforms to Negative Gearing and Capital Gains explicitly rule out retrospectivity.

Jobs, growth, climate change and infrastructure:

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Australia should never accept the false choice between growth and fairness – each is essential to each other. And there is nothing fair about a 15 per cent GST on everything and we remain completely opposed to it.And if Australia doesn’t want a 15 per cent GST, the only way to guarantee that is a Labor Government after July 2.

Full employment and creating better paid and better-protected jobs is Labor’s economic priority. The jobs of the future will be powered by infrastructure and renewable energy.

Taking real action on climate change will create new jobs, it will attract new international investment and power our industries and services. Of course, advocating climate action is hard, and running a scare campaign against it is easy. You should know that Mr Turnbull – you’ve done both.

But delaying action will be a hit on Australians’ cost of living, a drag on our nation’s economic growth and an attack on our farmers’ way of life. More than this – it would be a betrayal of the duty that every generation owes the next – to hand down an environment in a better state than the one we inherited.

Refusing to act on climate change will leave Australia isolated from the biggest economic opportunity of the next few decades.

By 2030, there will be $2.5 trillion of investment in renewable energy in the Asia-Pacific region alone. Australian enterprises should be collaborating with our universities and researchers to design, manufacture and export battery technology, solar panels and turbine parts. These are not niche markets or boutique industries. Embracing clean technology and renewable energy can revitalise advanced manufacturing in this country.

In just the last two years, the global economy added 2 million renewable energy jobs – but Australia lost 2,600. The world is powering ahead – and under the Liberal Government, we are going in the wrong direction. It’s time to turn things around, which is why a Labor Government will deliver 50 per cent renewable energy by 2030…

Or to put it bluntly, you can’t trust action on climate change to a government controlled by climate sceptics.

Instead of cutting infrastructure by a further $1 billion as this government has done in this Budget…

Labor will turbo-charge Infrastructure Australia with a new $10 billion funding facility. A ‘concrete bank’ to get investment from the private sector, particularly big super funds, flowing into projects. Instead of taking selfies on the train, we’ll get new projects underway.

Nation-building, not ego-boosting.

If we don’t get projects up and going, by 2031, congestion on our roads will cost Australia $53 billion.

This is why a Labor Government will invest directly in public transport:
– Brisbane’s Cross River Rail
– The Melbourne Metro
– The Western Sydney Rail line
– Perth Metronet
– Adelaide’s Gawler line electrification and AdeLINK light rail
And that’s just the start.

This will create a stable pipeline of 26,000 jobs – and boost productivity. And the most important piece of infrastructure to any 21st Century economy, is a first-rate, fibre, National Broadband Network. That’s what Labor will deliver. Creating jobs, plugging us in to Asia, linking small businesses in the regions – to new markets in our region.

Education:

Securing Australia’s prosperity begins with education. Over the next ten years, Labor will invest $37.3 billion to guarantee every school in Australia receives fair funding on the basis of need.

We will deliver on the Gonski promise – and go beyond.

As the son of a teacher, as a father of three children and as Prime Minister: I will ensure every child, in every school, gets every opportunity for a great world-class education. This is not more money for more of the same.

This funding guarantees schools can teach the basics better, building a strong foundation to inspire a love of learning and impart the skills needed to thrive in this century. Coding skills, computing skills, technology and science skills.

Achieving this requires more individual attention for every child from better-trained, better-resourced teachers. This is an investment in our economy, in productivity, in growth, in a workforce ready to win the jobs of the future.

But the Liberals mock the idea of spending extra resources on our kids. The same Liberals who have cut more than $30 billion from Australian schools and bemoan the cost. Why does the Turnbull Government always look at funding for our schools as a cost not an investment?

The Prime Minister has arrogantly dismissed our policy. The same Prime Minister who, only a month ago, was talking about cutting every single Commonwealth dollar from every single government school.

The people of Australia who pay tax to the Commonwealth have a legitimate expectation that some of that money will be reinvested in government schools to which they send their children to throughout Australia.

Now, in the shadows of the election campaign – having ripped $30 billion out of schools – they’ve promised to put one billion back. And there they sit, awaiting the thanks of a grateful nation. But Australians know they can’t trust this Prime Minister on education. And when they hear Liberals lecturing parents and teachers, saying: “More money won’t solve the problem.”

Australians know the only people who ever say this are those for whom money has never been a problem. We hear so much talk from this Prime Minister about ‘innovation’. But Australia cannot be an innovation nation, unless we are an education nation. You can’t build an ideas boom when you’re sacking CSIRO scientist. And we will not get smarter by charging university students $100,000 for a degree.

Vocational Education Rorts:

And tonight, I declare the pendulum has swung too far to private providers – Labor will be backing public TAFE all the way. We will restore integrity to the training system, by cleaning out the dodgy private colleges who have been ripping Australians off. In 2014, the ten largest private training colleges in Australia received $900 million in government funding. Yet less than 5 per cent of their students graduated.

Tens of thousands of Australians are being loaded up with massive new debt – but not the qualification they need to find a job. And for the past three years, the Liberals’ only response has been to blame someone else.

At last, Malcolm Turnbull has acted – he has demanded a discussion paper. The Prime Minister may not be capable of making a decision – but I am. While Mr Turnbull dithers – Labor will deliver.

A Labor Government will cap Vocational Education loans at $8,000 per student per year. We will cut this wasteful spending, saving an estimated $6 billion over the decade.

Budget savings:

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Tonight I have outlined $71 billion of additional Budget improvements over the decade. These are the decisions our nation needs. This is what a responsible Budget looks like…

Support for Medicare:

In Australia, the health of any one of us, matters to all of us. That’s why Labor created Medicare. Medicare speaks to who we are as a society, as a nation.

A guarantee you are treated according to your health care need, not according to your income. Medicare drives economic growth and productivity, keeping us active, healthy and productive at work. It saves employers the costs, red-tape and hassle of organising health insurance for their workforce. It saves our nation money – the most efficient payment system, for treatment at the most important time. And it saves families money – keeping down the cost of living.

By contrast, the two-tiered, privatised American system is driven by profit for private health insurers – not the people who need help. And by every measure, the privatised American model delivers massively worse outcomes for families, for health budgets and for economic productivity. But this is the two-tiered model the Liberals have always wanted. Great for the profits of private health insurers – and a disaster for ordinary Australians.

Make no mistake, the second of July will be a referendum on the future of Medicare.

In the past three years: The Liberals have cut Medicare and they have taxed Medicare. And in this Budget it only gets worse for Medicare and the Australians who depend upon it
This is a Budget that health professionals have condemned for undermining patient care – particularly in regional Australia. It cuts money from general practitioners – the front line troops in our constant battle to keep Australians well. It cuts money from bulk-billing for pathology and diagnostic imaging services for Australians fighting cancer…

But the Liberals are spending $5 million on a secret Department of Health taskforce, to investigate the fastest way to privatise parts of Medicare. This is just the beginning – the thin end of the wedge – the Liberals will not rest until they have savaged bulk billing and eliminated universal healthcare in this country. Labor will always protect Medicare.

Under a Labor Government, Medicare will be in safe hands – and in public hands. We will not support the privatisation of the Medicare system. Full stop.

Tonight, I announce we will legislate to protect Medicare, within our first 100 days.

Housing affordability:

Building a stronger budget also demands an honest look at housing affordability – and tax subsidies such as negative gearing and capital gains that make the problem worse.

These two tax-subsidies will cost the Budget over $10 billion this year. More than this government spends on higher education, or childcare. These are not tax breaks for battlers.
Half of all the benefit goes to the top 10 per cent of income earners.

Now, Mr Turnbull has said this is all ‘beside the point’. Actually, this is the whole point.

The taxpayer dollars ordinary Australians work hard for every day are pushing the price of housing beyond the reach of working and middle class families. It’s those at the top end who receive the higher benefit. This is not sustainable – and it’s not fair. Labor’s plans for a fairer system will not affect any existing investment property – no-one will be left high and dry. Instead, we will re-direct investment into new housing after 1 July next year.

Saving the Budget over $32 billion dollars over the decade, to help pay for the economic investments in education and healthcare that Australia needs.

Our policy will mean:
– More new houses
– Greater supply
– Thousands of new jobs: carpenters, tilers, electricians and plumbers

Back in 1990 a typical home in Sydney cost 5 times a young person’s average income. Saving for a 20 per cent deposit took around 3 years. Today, the same home cost 15 times a young person’s average income. And saving up a 20 per cent deposit takes nearly 10 years.

Buying a home is only getting harder – yet the government thinks the priority is tax-breaks for investors. And yesterday, on ABC radio, this out-of-touch Prime Minister stunned listeners by announcing his new housing plan: get yourself some rich parents and get them to shell out.
The country deserves better than that. If the Prime Minister really believed in aspiration – he’d support Australians who aspire to own a home, he’d support Labor’s policy.

Tonight I say to all aspiring homeowners and their parents, Labor will provide a level playing field. Instead of telling you to have a go – we’ll give you a fair go.

Overall, a solid effort that certainly takes the fight to the Government.

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The opposition to company tax cuts for big business is wise, since it will primarily benefit foreign shareholders over Australians. The crack-down on private vocational education rorts is also welcome, as is the additional investment in infrastructure, including renewable investment and public transport, as well as the protection of Medicare and the bolstering of public education. And of course there is Labor’s plan to unwind negative gearing and CGT rorts, which are a must.

My only area of criticism is the pledge to not make any retrospective changes to superannuation. The Coalition’s $1.6 million cap to tax-free superannuation balances is excellent and will partly close a deleterious tax shelter. Who cares if it is retrospective – it still needs to be done.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.