And the upside to miner earnings is…

Wednesday, 13 April 2016

Huge if prices are maintained, from UBS:

All else equal, our BHP & RIO earnings estimates for CY 16 would be 5134% and 69% higher respectively, under a spot scenario. At spot, S32’s CY 16 earnings would decrease 15% to US$219m. Iron ore: The spot iron ore price is 11% above our CY 16 forecast but combined with FX and freight implies a 25% upgrade to FMG’s FY 16E earnings.

For 2017 it is literally off the chart:

If only…

About the author

David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.