Auckland housing market craters

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By Leith van Onselen

The Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ) has released its house price index for January, which posted a 1.3% monthly seasonally-adjusted rise at the national level, with prices rising by 4.9% year-on-year.

ScreenHunter_11464 Feb. 11 11.23

However, prices in Auckland posted a 1.3% season-adjusted decline in January, and have fallen quite sharply over over recent months (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_11462 Feb. 11 11.09
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Auckland sales volumes have also fallen sharply (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_11463 Feb. 11 11.09

On 1 October 2015, the New Zealand Government implemented new tax rules and residential requirements, which:

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  • requires non-residents and New Zealanders buying and selling any property other than their main home to provide a New Zealand IRD [tax file] number;
  • requires non-residents to have a New Zealand bank account to get a New Zealand IRD number; and
  • introduces a new “bright line” test to tax gains from residential property sold within two years of purchase, unless it’s the seller’s main home, inherited or transferred in a relationship property settlement.

From 1 November, the RBNZ’s new rules on Auckland residential investor loans also came in to force requiring the bulk of these loans to have a loan-to-value ratio (LVR) of no more than 70%. Banks are also now required to put residential property investment loans in a separate asset class and hold more capital against them.

Both measures appear to be weighing on Auckland housing.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.