Macro Morning (ISM shock)

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 by Chris Becker

US stocks rallied on a poorer than expected ISM result overnight, while European unemployment came in better than expected, in a reversal double shock that saw the USD fall and European stocks sold off. Both results question the divergent expectations of a rate rise and a deposit rate cut from the Fed and ECB respectively. Bonds rallied regardless while commodities were flat – except iron ore of course!

Recapping Asia’s session yesterday, where the Shanghai Composite is still trying to recover from its 6% slump on Friday, again barely finishing in the green at the end of the day, up 0.3% to 3456 points. Support at 3400 points is fairly strong here, as it formed the previous resistance level through October. This is all about confidence:

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