RP Data: Home values fell 1.5% in November

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By Leith van Onselen

Core Logic-RP Data’s dwelling price results are in for November, with a 1.49% decline in values recorded over the month at the 5-city level, with heavy falls in Melbourne and Sydney more than offsetting smaller rises in the other major capitals (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_10623 Nov. 30 10.34

It was the first monthly fall in home values since the usual May seasonal decline (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_10624 Nov. 30 10.40
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Over the quarter, values fell by 0.51% at the 5-city level, which was the lowest quarterly growth since December 2012 (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_10625 Nov. 30 10.45

Over the quarter, values fell by 0.94% in Sydney, 0.56% in Melbourne, and by 1.92% in Perth. By contrast, values rose by 1.46% in Brisbane and by 0.85% in Adelaide.

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As shown in the below charts, annual price growth is fading at 8.90% at the 5-city level. Sydney (+12.82% YoY) and Melbourne (+11.82% YoY) continue to lead the way, followed by Brisbane (+4.45%) and Adelaide (+3.27%). By contrast, Perth values have fallen by 4.13% over the year:

ScreenHunter_10626 Nov. 30 10.52
ScreenHunter_10627 Nov. 30 10.53
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Values are now 21.0% above the October 2010 peak at the 5-city level, driven almost entirely by massive growth in Sydney (+40.6%) and to a lesser extent Melbourne (+17.7%), with the other major capitals basically treading water (down in real inflation-adjusted terms):

ScreenHunter_10628 Nov. 30 10.54

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.