Daily iron ore price update (port problem)

Advertisement

Here are the iron ore price charts for November 9, 2015:

Capture 5 4 6 765
9 g

Qingdao spot keeps falling. Tianjin benchmark also fell 0.6% to $47.40. Singapore 12 month swap had a better day, as did Dalian 6 month futures, but the latter gave it all up Friday night and ended where it started. The rebar bounce is over. Most problematic of all, Chinese port inventories of iron ore jumped 1.25 million tonnes (mt) to 86mt and the rebuild is accelerating even as prices tumble. That gives steel mills all of the pricing power and shows that this price weakness is not a destocking episode. The wider bulks are also weak with thermal especially so, again close to break down as the seasonal Chinese restock passes.

Advertisement

All-in-all it’s a terrible picture and iron ore prices will keep falling this week, this month and this year, with the rising prospect that at the end of this move we will get some sort of destocking episode that crashes prices to God knows only what level.

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.