Here are the iron ore charts for October 1st, 2015:
More bad data. Despite Chinese markets being closed and the hopeful tone in global markets, Qingdao iron ore fell (benchmark was up 0.1%), paper markets barely budged and coal is looking ill, which won’t help Glencore when equities finally get over their short squeeze. At least Chinese steel production rebounded in mid September post-parade but falling rebar tells you that that can’t last. Indeed, I’m looking for a 2011 or 2013 style of year end as mills cut production to repair ruined margins. That will mean no iron ore restocking and perhaps the opposite.
The final quarter of 2015 is not looking good for the bulk commodities.