Daily iron ore price update (crash)

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Here are the iron ore charts for June 2, 2015:

123 2 4 45 Capture

Do not adjust your television set. Spot iron ore crashed yesterday. Benchmark Tianjin fell $3.10 to $55.80 and Qingdao spot fell $3.57, or 6.03%, to $55.63 a tonne. That’s a nice head and shoulders top in place with a busted neckline suggesting (on technicals) much more downside. Singapore 12 month swaps are fading fast too but Dalian rallied 2 points overnight and is at 415 this morning. Rebar is literally heading for Hades and I added a long term chart for perspective. I do not think that this is seasonal. It is too early for that. CISA released its mid-June steel mill production update and it rose 1.9%:

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The seasonal peak tends to come in August/September. This is massive structural oversupply and the scary thing is that the seasonal weakness lies ahead.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.