Is the dwelling construction cycle peaking?

Advertisement

By Leith van Onselen

Yesterday’s housing finance data for April registered a much needed rebound in buyer demand for newly constructed dwellings following a period of weakness, with the number of commitments for construction and new dwellings rising a combined 3.5% in April and by 1.4% over the year (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_7693 Jun. 09 16.16

The boom in new housing commitments looked to have peaked in November 2014, but after April’s rebound there are hopes that it may re-establish another uptrend (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_7690 Jun. 09 15.36
Advertisement

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.