At Aussie: We’ll slave you

Advertisement

By Lindsay David, cross-posted from the Australia: Boom to Bust Blog

Ever been on an Australian home lenders website and tested their ‘how much can I borrow’ calculator? Aussie Home Loans seems fine lending $1.014 million to a household with a “pre tax” income of $115,000 (or almost 9x income).

ScreenHunter_7463 May. 27 12.03

Image source (www.aussie.com.au)

Aussie may want to consider changing its online calculator to measuring how much a homebuyer can borrow based on ‘after tax income’ to be able to give adequate buffers for homebuyers to not get themselves in a horrible financial situation should there be a job loss.

According to taxcalc.com.au, net income after tax for the hypothetical couples (as per the image above) $55,000 and $50,000 income would be $44,736 and $41,356 respectively. Plus adding $10,000 of other income, that would total $96,272 per year or $8,022 per month. This would mean relative to net income after tax, the homebuyer household would hold a loan more than 10x its annual income.

Advertisement

Now you don’t need to be a brain surgeon to know if one of the joint owners of a $1.014 million loan lose their job– they will earn less in income than what the monthly repayments would be. In the meantime, the hypothetical couple would be left with $2,749 per month to cover the bills and all other living expenses whilst both hold their jobs. Based on Australia’s high cost of living, I guess that means no vacation for a very long time.

The more Australian’s that get tied up into this national household debt ponzi, the harder it will be for the Australian economy to eventually recover from a severe downturn in the housing market. Not that our regulators over at APRA seem too concerned. It’s time for APRA to properly regulate how much a household can borrow relative to their net income after tax, not just the deposit.

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.