There is an increasing sense of panic in global media about the spread of ebola. I take this as a sign that the danger is peaking. Here are the latest charts of the West African ebola outbreak:
The small West African nations are still in severe danger but the fact that Nigeria has contained its outbreak is very good news. Moreover, the recent US and overnight Spanish cases are so isolated, and the cordon sanitaire responses so swift and determined, that it’s clear that humans are now outpacing this viral enemy.
With vaccine trials only a few more months away it looks to me like the worst of this outbreak is passed. That’s not to say cases won’t still climb but my fear of a series of regional shut downs around the world looks increasingly unlikely to come to pass. Further shocks emanating from unexpected detections should be treated as temporary events.
