DFAT, US warn on Ebola

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From DFAT:

The outbreak has prompted Australian embassy staff to defer travel plans to Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone.

“We recommend Australian travellers do the same,” the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade said in its latest updated advice.

There’s a real risk that Australians travelling in the region could become stranded if the outbreak worsens, the department said.

Liberia has already closed most of its borders to combat the disease and entry points that remain open are being used as ebola prevention and screening centres.

DFAT warns that borders in the region could close and travel restrictions be imposed with “little or no warning”.

Australians who ignore the government’s advice are being urged to check their travel insurance as medical evacuations for any ebola patient would be “extremely difficult to conduct”.

“The Australian government may have limited options in providing consular assistance in these circumstances,” DFAT says.

It’s already happening. From the FT:

The presidents of Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia will meet on Friday in Conakry, the Guinean capital, to agree on new measures to stop the outbreak, officials said, as the death toll climbed to 729 people, with more than 1,300 infected.

Lewis Brown, information minister of Liberia, said: “Until we eliminate the disease in the three countries, we are in danger because our borders are very porous.

“We are expecting that measures [to contain the outbreak] will be ramped up in the three countries.”

Friday’s meeting between the three west African leaders comes after Sierra Leone joined neighbour Liberia in introducing sweeping measures to contain the disease after months of indecision, including calling on their armies to enforce quarantines in several villages.

Ernest Bai Koroma, president of Sierra Leone, on Thursday said “all epicentres of the disease will be quarantined” with the help of the army, adding that “public meetings and gatherings will be restricted”.

The sweeping orders, in effect for the next 60-90 days, came hours after Liberia introduced similar measures.

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Stripped of the rhetoric it’s ugly, from the US CDC:

This outbreak also affects Sierra Leone and Guinea; to date more than 1320 cases have occurred in the three countries and more than 725 people have died, making this the largest outbreak of Ebola in history.

At least three Americans have been infected; two are health care workers in an Ebola clinic. Affected districts include Bomi, Bong, Grand Gedeh, Lofa, Montserrado (including the capital city of Monrovia), Margibi, and Nimba.

Instances of civil unrest and violence against aid workers have been reported in West Africa as a result of the outbreak.

The public health infrastructure is being severely strained as the outbreak grows.

CDC to send additional 50 experts to region in next 30 days.

Dr. Thomas Frieden, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said Thursday that even in a best-case scenario, it could easily take three to six months to stem the epidemic in West.

Meanwhile, on the ground:

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Diseased_Ebola_2014
Date of report Total Guinea Liberia Sierra Leone
cases deaths cases deaths cases deaths cases deaths
27 Jul 2014 1323 729 460 339 329 156 533 233
23 Jul 2014 1201 672 427 319 249 129 525 224
20 Jul 2014 1093 660 415 314 224 127 454 219
18 Jul 2014 1048 632 410 310 196 116 442 206
15 Jul 2014 964 603 406 304 172 105 386 194
10 Jul 2014 888 539 409 309 142 88 337 142
8 Jul 2014 844 518 408 307 131 84 305 127
2 Jul 2014 759 467 413 303 107 65 239 99
24 Jun 2014 599 338 390 270 51 34 158 34
18 Jun 2014 528 337 398 264 33 24 97 49
10 Jun 2014 474 252 372 236 13 9 89 7
5 Jun 2014 438 231 344 215 13 9 81 7
2 Jun 2014 354 208 291 193 13 9 50 6
27 May 2014 309 200 281 186 12 9 16 5
23 May 2014 270 181 258 174 12 9
14 May 2014 245 164 233 157 12 9
5 May 2014 243 162 231 155 12 9
30 Apr 2014 233 153 221 146 12 9
23 Apr 2014 220 143 208 136 12 9
21 Apr 2014 215 136 203 129 12 9
17 Apr 2014 209 129 197 122 12 9
10 Apr 2014 169 108 157 101 12 9
7 Apr 2014 163 102 151 95 12 7
2 Apr 2014 135 88 127 83 8 5
1 Apr 2014 130 82 122 80 8 2
31 Mar 2014 114 70 112 70 2 0
27 Mar 2014 103 66 103 66
26 Mar 2014 86 60 86 60
25 Mar 2014 86 59 86 59
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.