Chinese steel mill confidence ebbs

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The Platts China Steel Sentiment Index (Platts CSSI)is out and shows a reading of 45.90 out of a possible 100 points, a six-month low. More from the WSJ:

The July reading is down 6.03 points from 51.93 in June and the lowest reading since 28.49 in January this year. Steel market participants anticipated a decrease in both domestic and export steel orders, but were more positive towards domestic orders.

In terms of prices, survey respondents’ outlook for domestic steel prices in July was much more positive than their outlook for export steel prices. Also, producers and traders of flat steel products, such as hot rolled coil, were significantly more bullish than last month. The flat steel price index reached 62.37 in July, up 27.10 points from 35.63 in June; while the long steel domestic price index was 50.00 in July, a more modest increase than for flats, compared with 45.45 the previous month.

The Platts China Steel Sentiment Index Survey – July 2014
July Change from June
June
Platts China Steel Sentiment Index (Reflects New Orders) 45.90 -6.03 51.93
New Domestic Orders 46.71 -5.99 52.70
New Export Orders 36.42 -5.31 41.73
Additional Sentiment Categories:
Steel Production 46.43 -12.95 59.38
Inventories
Mill Inventories 46.43 5.80 40.63
Trader Inventories 39.35 4.18 35.17
Price Expectations
Domestic Long Steel Products Prices 50.00 4.55 45.45
Domestic Flat Steel Products Prices 62.73 27.10 35.63
Export Steel Prices 47.72 7.91 39.81

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.