Roy Morgan consumer confidence falls again

Advertisement
ScreenHunter_20 Apr. 10 19.28

By Leith van Onselen

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Research (RMR) consumer confidence index has been released for the week ended 13 April, which fell for the third consecutive week (down 1.3 points) to be a touch below its long-term average (113.0) and well below the highs reached after last year’s Federal Election:

ScreenHunter_2064 Apr. 15 19.13

The fall in the week was driven by weakness in consumers’ perceptions of ‘financial situation in the year ahead’ and ‘… a year ago’, with the latter closely correlated with consumer spending. While this sub-index can be volatile, it is now around 5% lower than its average over the past 6 months.

Advertisement

Below tracks the ANZ-RM index against the monthly Westpac-Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index:

ScreenHunter_2065 Apr. 15 19.17

At the moment, both indices are singing from the same hymn sheet, with consumer confidence mediocre.

Advertisement

[email protected]

www.twitter.com/Leithvo

About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.