Daily iron ore price update (restock over?)

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Here are the iron ore price charts for April 11, 2014:

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Not much fun in paper markets with rebar futures down as well. Physical was worse for both iron ore and steel and the Baltic Dry capesize component fell another 4%:

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It’s still at moderate levels but falling fast. Chinese port stocks also rebounded last week to just short of a record at 108.2 million tonnes:

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The news was poor too with CISA high frequency daily steel production falling in the late March period:

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In late March this year, the average aggregate daily crude steel output in China was approx. 2.073 million mt, down 1.1 percent from mid-March.

No output growth and weak steel pricing, very high inventories of everything, rolling futures, fading shipping rates. Looks like the modest restock at Chinese mills is done.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.