RP Data weekly Australian house price update

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ScreenHunter_07 Mar. 20 20.55

By Leith van Onselen

In the week ended 27 February 2014, the RP Data-Rismark 5-city daily dwelling price index, which covers the five major capital city markets, fell by 0.28% (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_1434 Feb. 28 07.36

Values fell in all major capitals except Melbourne (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_1435 Feb. 28 07.36

Values are down 0.08% so far in February, with all major capitals except Sydney underwater:

ScreenHunter_1436 Feb. 28 07.37
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Values are up 1.12% so far in 2014, driven by big gains in Melbourne and Sydney:

ScreenHunter_1437 Feb. 28 07.39

Over the past 12 months, home values have risen by 9.65% at the 5-city level, led by Sydney and Melbourne (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_1438 Feb. 28 07.40

The next chart plots the daily movements on a 14-day moving average, in order to smooth volatility. As you can see, the uptrend continues, driven mostly by strong gains in Sydney (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_1439 Feb. 28 07.41
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Values are up 4.8% since the 2010 peak at the 5-city level, driven primarily by strong gains in Sydney, with Perth and Melbourne values also up but the other major markets still in negative territory (see next chart).

ScreenHunter_1440 Feb. 28 07.42

However, major capital home values have now gained 13.2% since bottoming nationally in May 2012, with all capitals rebounding from their respective troughs (see next chart).

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ScreenHunter_1441 Feb. 28 07.43

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.