Chinese property to sink forever now

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Great story from Caixin.


As China’s real estate market continues to defy government efforts to bring it back to life, market players and analysts trying to call the bottom are out of signposts.

Historically in China, it would typically take three to eight months for loosened monetary policy and credit support to reverse a down cycle. But this one has already dragged on for two and a half years despite almost a year of dramatic policy easing. Nothing that national or local authorities tried has moved the needle.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.