DXY eased last night:
AUD got squeezy against both majors:
Zero aid from North Asia:
But some from oil and gold:
Goldman’s fancy copper squeeze is going nicely. Beware.
Big miners are back!
EM stocks look poised:
Junk BTFD:
As yields peeled back with oil:
Stocks await US CPI:
Everything awaits US CPI! Tomorrow.
From BofA:
After two firm reports to start the year, core CPI inflation should cool off in March. We expect core CPI inflation to round down to 0.2% m/m (0.24% unrounded) owing to a slight decline in core goods prices and less price pressure from core services. Meanwhile, headline CPI should round up to 0.3% m/m (0.25% unrounded). If our forecast proves correct, it should provide some confidence to the Fed.
From Goldman:
We expect a 0.27% increase in March core CPI (vs. 0.3% consensus), corresponding to a year-over-year rate of 3.70% (vs. 3.7% consensus). We expect a 0.29% increase in March headline CPI (vs. 0.3% consensus), which corresponds to a year-over-year rate of 3.37% (vs. 3.4% consensus).
Either of these would do for some more AUD squeeze. The CFTC shorts are sitting ducks:
If the squeeze does trigger, then how far we get will hang on the headwinds of China and oil.
Oil will have a bigger say in the US PPI then CPI, which is part of the Fed’s preferred PCE inflation measure.
