China’s mad steel inflation

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Chinese inflation is out and boy is it odd as the PPI soars as expected, hitting 7.8%, while the CPI cratered to just 0.8% year on year:

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For the CPI the culprit was vegies and eggs which collapsed:

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Meanwhile, steel and inputs plus energy drove nearly all of the producer inflation:

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Such narrow inflation does not speak very well for the global reflation trade. I mean, sheesh, the ferrous complex boom was basically the result of a series of policy errors. And here we see the result with virtually no price pass through anywhere in the production chain.

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In short, China has just sent global markets a massively false reflation signal and once this baby passes global lowflation will be back with a vengeance.

Do not sell those bonds!

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.