From The Australian:
Liberal Party internal polling is showing a statewide swing against the Barnett government of about 14 per cent, a result that would hand the Labor Party more than 20 extra seats and make Mark McGowan premier in a landslide election victory next month.
The polling explains the West Australian Liberals’ desperation to do a preference deal with a resurgent One Nation ahead of the March 11 state election.
Senior Liberals believe the deal could save a few seats from being claimed by Labor. Liberal Party sources have told The Australian that recent internal polling had shown a two-party preferred vote of 57 per cent for Labor to the Liberal-National alliance’s 43 per cent. This is worse for the Liberals than a Newspoll survey published last month which showed Labor leading by 54 to 46 per cent.
If Labor wins 57 per cent of the statewide vote, and assuming the swing was uniform, it would lead to the loss of key seats held by ministers including Treasurer Mike Nahan in Riverton, Health Minister John Day in Kalamunda and Environment Minister Albert Jacob in Burns Beach.
It’s certainly the drubbing that Barnett and Nahan deserve but I’m not sure it will change much.
