Goldman predicts rampant USD

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From Goldman:

Tomorrow, in line with market pricing, we expect the FOMC to raise the federal funds rate by 25bp.

From there, our US economists price a more sizeable tightening cycle than the market (see Exhibit 1), and we expect further USD strength as the market re-prices more tightening from the Fed.

That said, we also think that Chair Yellen will continue to emphasise that monetary policy is not on a pre-set course and that the data will dictate the future path of interest rates.

goldman-sachs-federal-open-market-committee

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.