Goldman: Rate hikes begin early 2018

Advertisement

We have a market! Right about the time MB expects the RBA to be hitting the zero bound or its equivalent as the dwelling boom comes off big, Goldman’s Tim Toohey is expecting rate hikes to begin:

On the inflation front, we believe that 3Q2016 will mark an important transition point and the start of a gradual reflation in consumer prices.

These transition points are important for forward-looking policymakers and we believe the shifting dynamics will contribute to the RBA commencing a tightening cycle from

early 2018.

Nothing more at this stage but when I see the report I’ll report back. We are often roughly in-sync with Mr Toohey so it will be interesting.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.