Aussie dollar headed for 90 cents?

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From the AFR:

The Australian dollar is likely to hit US85¢ within five years and could trade as high as US90¢ because interest rates in the United States aren’t going to rise as much as expected, according to one of the world’s bigger private equity funds.

The director of research for the Carlyle Group, economist Jason Thomas, who was in Australia last week to brief the investment giant’s clients, said the US economy has been hit unexpectedly hard by a drop in oil and gas…”The US was the first into the tightening cycle and it is going to be the first to end the tightening cycle,” he said in an interview.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.