You can relax about inflation, Chris

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I’ve been a long term sparring partner with Chris Joye on inflation and today he takes up his hawkish mantle once more:

US inflation.

Don’t get me wrong: if the Reserve Bank of Australia is mad enough to cut its cash rate further and embark on its own unique asset-buying binge, there’s loads of upside left in local government bonds.

Specifically, if the 10-year government bond yield falls from 1.91 per cent today to, say, zero per cent, its price will leap 17 per cent from $120.7 to $141.4. That’s a handsome return on any measure.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.