Bond markets position for rate cuts, Aussie dollar weakness

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Aussie bonds are on a tear again after yesterday’s CPI shocker with short end yields belted 23 bps in 24 hours though still at 1.87% versus a 2% cash rate which captures some doubt about an RBA move, let alone more than one:

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As one would expect with still rising US rates, the long end has dragged the chain so what has been a fast flattening and bearish curve has suddenly steepened:

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US bond yields eased back on the Fed’s balanced statement last night but the short end remains in a solid uptrend:

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.