A funny thing happened to capex on the way to BS

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The newly minted economic coverage at Business Spectator went through something of a trial yesterday with the awful capex data. Erstwhile but still employed bearish economist Callam Pickering was nowhere to be seen and instead we got this from Victoria Thieberger:

Actual new capital spending in the September quarter showed a depressing fall of 9.2 per cent, but this was partly offset by a modest upgrade to companies’ forecast expenditure for the 2015/16 financial year.

Unfortunately, as the country’s transition post mining collapse continues, the capex survey has a heavy overrepresentation of the mining sector and therefore usually suggests a more bearish view of the economy than other data — such as the robust employment numbers — that include the services sector.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.