Time to pull Australian dollar shorts?

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From the AFR comes RBS’s head of macro strategy in Asia, Greg Gibbs:

…”Even though iron ore prices have been relatively stable since the last RBA meeting… the broader theme around commodities is quite soft,” said Mr Gibbs. “There’s a general bearishness around commodity currencies.”

“It does suggest that the data is not all that bad and there’s not really something for the RBA to be jumping at…At current levels, “it just gets harder for the RBA to argue that a further fall in the currency is both likely and necessary…Certainly you might look at the Aussie and think it’s going to outperform some of the commodity currencies … I wouldn’t be sitting there comfortably short at the moment.”

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.